The Dow continues unabated in its uptrend treading alongside a perfect 45 degree line, since Feb 1st and with a tiny correction the Dow went from 14009.79 to 14578.74 at close on March 28, for a superb 4% gain in two months.
The Dow gave again a buying signal last Thursday with a 14880 target, the support line for this week is at 14349, the index must lose 1.60% from last week close to signal an end to the uptrend, any closing price this week below 14349 is a signal to exit all Dow Longs.
I suspect this continuous uptrend of the Dow since not all the groups are trading alongside, Basic Materials had a dismal performance in the same period going from 290.09 on Feb 1st to 282.92 at last week close, shedding 7.17 points or 2.47%.
The group gave a short signal on March 25 with a 1.3% target to the downside, March 27 low could be the target so I am not shorting the group, possibly it will overcome its 50 ma halting the down move for a while. This is a weak group making it a favorite short candidate if the market starts consolidating. The 285 level, extremely close the 50 ma is resistance for downs next week.
Positions: In the sidelines.
Good luck to all,
Technical Analysis of the Financials Markets, Swing Trading Speculation
Hi, these are just ideas not recommendations, sometimes I trade my ideas, sometimes I don’t.
Always remember, yours is the responsibility for your trades,
Good luck,
Erick
Always remember, yours is the responsibility for your trades,
Good luck,
Erick
Sunday, March 31, 2013
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Dow Jones Support March 28
Hello all,
The Dow continues ascending and today it added 0.36% making again a new 52 week high. As it keeps climbing my last target established at 14429 on February 1 was surpassed, so now it is on uncertainty territory.
Definitively is you did not enter early now is not a right time to go long on the Dow’s ETFs, it is an exercise on patience but what I’m doing is waiting on the sidelines for a short or at least a correction on the move since I don’t have a new uptrend target.
What happened was on February 1st I got a new target but also my January 11 target was reached so I was kind of in a dilemma, so in February 5 I sold with my original target in mind, it proved wrong because the Dow Jones kept climbing without crossing the support line for that week, anyway it was a 7.3% leveraged profit in 20 trading days, I really do not believe on buy and hold.
As you can see in the chart, the angle was a near perfect 45 degree so the volatility ignited move was a no brainer. Always suspect a long move with a steep angle since it tends to correct quickly.
Support for this week is at 14278.
Sorry for not posting for a couple of months, I’ll try to make time.
Shalom,
The Dow continues ascending and today it added 0.36% making again a new 52 week high. As it keeps climbing my last target established at 14429 on February 1 was surpassed, so now it is on uncertainty territory.
Definitively is you did not enter early now is not a right time to go long on the Dow’s ETFs, it is an exercise on patience but what I’m doing is waiting on the sidelines for a short or at least a correction on the move since I don’t have a new uptrend target.
What happened was on February 1st I got a new target but also my January 11 target was reached so I was kind of in a dilemma, so in February 5 I sold with my original target in mind, it proved wrong because the Dow Jones kept climbing without crossing the support line for that week, anyway it was a 7.3% leveraged profit in 20 trading days, I really do not believe on buy and hold.
As you can see in the chart, the angle was a near perfect 45 degree so the volatility ignited move was a no brainer. Always suspect a long move with a steep angle since it tends to correct quickly.
Support for this week is at 14278.
Sorry for not posting for a couple of months, I’ll try to make time.
Shalom,
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- Erick Stern
- From the Dominican Republic - Swing Trader Speculator - Civil Engineer/Project Manager - sternloinaz@gmail.com