The 1.7% advance of the dollar yesterday may signal a shift in the direction of the market at least in the short term. The strong volume of traders buying dollars (the highest in three months) could be the beginning of money going out of stocks and into cash.
Long term the market looks strong with the Dow Jones trading cleanly above the 10 and 30 weeks moving average, however a one or two weeks correction can take you out of your hard earned profits. Since I trade with a short to medium term in mind, I sold all my positions yesterday with a small profit. I am convinced that making money in the stock market is a long race with the preservation of capital being the most important consideration.
Now it is probably a time to reassess, The Dow lost 1.48% yesterday the SP and the Nasdaq dropped in excess of 1.5% and the volume was significant. I will be waiting for a signal of the markets to start trading again. A simple bullish signal would be for the markets to overcome Monday’s high which is also the same as last week high level.
Start looking for medium term shorts if the market closes below yesterday close or below last week low.
For shorts you may consider looking at AKAM and JNPR.
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- Erick Stern
- I am a civil engineer who likes charts, to me, speculating in the markets is both a hobby and a second profession and in my view the stock market is the most honest environment, since it is only your knowledge and preparation that matters. I live, and work in the construction industry, in the Dominican Republic. I read and answer all my mail so please feel free to write email@example.com Thanks, Erick