Hi, these are just ideas not recommendations, sometimes I trade my ideas, sometimes I don’t.
Always remember, yours is the responsibility for your trades,
Good luck,
Erick



Sunday, August 14, 2011

Nature's Law ?


Elliot Rules, guidelines and interpretation

Two of the motive waves in a 5 waves impulse tend toward equality in time and magnitude, also wave 3 is never the shortest. Let’s see how these guidelines conform to this count.

Wave 1 from 12,724.41 to 11,866.62, 857.79 Dow points, 6.74% drop in 9 trading days.
Wave 2 up to 11,896.44 hum?
Wave 3 from 11,896.44 to 10,719.94, 1,176.50 Dow points, 9.89%, in 5 trading days.

Wave 5 should be equal to wave 1 or a 0.618 relationship, resulting in 857 or 529 points.

Sub Waves (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
(1) from 11,896.44 to 11,383.68, 512.76 points, 4.31%
(2) to 11,444.61 retraced 11.88%
(3) from 11,444,61 to 10,809.85, 634.76 points, 5.55%
(4) to 11,239.77, retraced 68% of (3)
(5) from 11,239.77 to 10,719.94, 519.83 points, 4.62%

Total sub wave move from 11,896.44 to 10,719.84 is 1,176.60 points or 9.89% from 0, the 0.618 golden division is at 6.11% or a level of 11,169.57, very near wave 4 (less than 1%).

So if this wave count is correct we are in wave 4, let’s see where it takes us, it can be a straight up line but most possibly wave 4 will be a triangle that always occurs in wave 4.
The 15.75% drop in the Dow in 14 days should warn us that the market will take some time to consolidate.






No comments:

Post a Comment

BlogCatalog

Investing Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory

Followers

Blog Archive

About Me

From the Dominican Republic - Swing Trader Speculator - Civil Engineer/Project Manager - sternloinaz@gmail.com