Hi, these are just ideas not recommendations, sometimes I trade my ideas, sometimes I don’t.
Always remember, yours is the responsibility for your trades,
Good luck,
Erick



Thursday, November 24, 2011

Here´s another thought

Thanks to http://danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com/ for getting my attention to this perfectly parallel downward channel. The failure of the prices to reach the top of the channel is certainly an indication of a future break of the lower line. This is a 2000 point channel, if the lower line is broken the level minus 2000 is a new low target.


For the immediate future I am trying to project some consolidation area near the down line of the channel.

My first choice is a big flat with B wave stopping at the B1 10655 level fulfilling the great December-January almost etched rally.


My second projection is that BIG 2 ended definitively at 12231 on October 28, BIG 1 developed in 51 trading days and BIG 2 ending on October 28 had 19 trading days, 19/51 = 0.373, the nearest exact days relationship to 0.382.



With the channel measuring technique we'll put the end of 3 of 1 of BIG3 at 11000, then a 4 will stop around 11230 and 5 will be 573 points long same as 1 ending around 10655. With this scenario then we will have 2 of 1 of 3 running on December giving us some year end mini rally.

Anyway these are just possible scenarios, lets wait for the real development.

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From the Dominican Republic - Swing Trader Speculator - Civil Engineer/Project Manager - sternloinaz@gmail.com